Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 February 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 22 Feb 2024
- Respondents
- 1,294
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- BSW5.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others9.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 2 Feb 2024.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,294 people were surveyed from 20 to 22 Feb 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 2 Feb 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has BSW 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.5average 6.5
- Linke +0.8average 3.2
- Grüne +0.7average 13.3
- FDP -0.7average 4.7
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 30.1
- AfD ±0average 19.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU228
- AfD144
- SPD114
- Grüne106
- BSW38
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne334 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne364 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.