Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 June 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 5 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 1,297
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-3.0
- Grüne26.0%+6.0
- SPD13.0%-3.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 May 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 26.0%. 1,297 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 May 2019, Grüne gains 6.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 4.7 points higher and SPD 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.7average 21.3
- SPD -2.4average 15.4
- FDP -1.3average 8.3
- Linke -1.2average 8.2
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 27.8
- AfD +0.3average 12.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne176
- SPD88
- AfD88
- FDP48
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD359 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.