Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 May 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 9 May 2019
- Respondents
- 1,357
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+2.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Apr 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,357 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Apr 2019, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.7average 8.7
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 28.8
- Grüne +1.1average 18.9
- SPD -1.0average 17.0
- AfD +1.0average 13.0
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- Grüne133
- SPD106
- AfD93
- Linke53
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.