Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 April 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 11 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 1,282
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%+2.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 Mar 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,282 people were surveyed from 9 to 11 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 Mar 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 29.8
- Grüne +1.5average 18.5
- FDP -1.2average 9.2
- AfD +0.6average 12.4
- Linke +0.4average 8.6
- SPD +0.3average 16.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne132
- SPD113
- AfD86
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.