Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 27 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 1,325
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 Mar 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,325 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 Mar 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 17.0
- Grüne +0.9average 18.1
- Linke +0.5average 8.5
- AfD +0.4average 12.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 30.3
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- Grüne126
- SPD99
- AfD86
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.