Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 14 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 1,290
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 Feb 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,290 people were surveyed from 12 to 14 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 Feb 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.3average 13.3
- Grüne +1.2average 17.8
- SPD -0.7average 16.7
- FDP -0.7average 8.7
- Linke -0.7average 8.7
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 30.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- Grüne127
- SPD107
- AfD80
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.