Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 21 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,226
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Feb 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,226 people were surveyed from 19 to 21 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Feb 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.3 points higher and SPD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.3average 17.7
- SPD -1.9average 16.9
- FDP -1.8average 8.8
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 30.4
- Linke +0.4average 8.6
- AfD -0.1average 13.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- Grüne133
- SPD99
- AfD86
- Linke60
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.