Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 7 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,350
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+2.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 Jan 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,350 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 Jan 2019, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 1.6 points higher and AfD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 18.4
- AfD -1.6average 13.6
- FDP -1.0average 9.0
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 30.6
- Linke +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- Grüne133
- SPD106
- AfD79
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.