Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 January 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 24 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 1,285
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+2.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Jan 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,285 people were surveyed from 22 to 24 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Jan 2019, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.3average 18.7
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- AfD -0.8average 13.8
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 30.3
- Linke +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- Grüne133
- SPD93
- AfD86
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.