Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 June 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 19 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 1,291
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne26.0%±0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 Jun 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 26.0%. 1,291 people were surveyed from 17 to 19 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 Jun 2019, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 3.1 points higher and FDP 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.1average 22.9
- FDP -1.5average 8.5
- Linke -1.3average 8.3
- SPD -0.3average 14.3
- AfD +0.3average 12.7
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 26.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne174
- SPD94
- AfD87
- FDP47
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD362 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.