Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 4 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,225
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Apr 2023.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,225 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 May 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Apr 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.4average 7.4
- Grüne +1.3average 15.7
- AfD -0.8average 15.8
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 29.3
- Linke +0.4average 4.6
- SPD -0.3average 19.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- SPD130
- Grüne116
- AfD103
- FDP41
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP350 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.