Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 20 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,266
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 31 Mar 2023.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,266 people were surveyed from 18 to 20 Apr 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 31 Mar 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 2.3 points higher and SPD 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.3average 28.7
- SPD -2.3average 20.3
- Grüne +1.8average 16.2
- FDP -1.1average 7.1
- Linke -0.4average 4.4
- AfD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- SPD129
- Grüne129
- AfD107
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD365 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.