Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 31 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 30 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,379
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%-2.0
- Grüne17.0%-2.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%+2.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Mar 2023.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,379 people were surveyed from 28 to 30 Mar 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Mar 2023, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 28.5
- SPD -0.8average 19.8
- Grüne +0.3average 16.7
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
- AfD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD129
- Grüne115
- AfD102
- FDP47
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.