Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 16 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,146
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- SPD21.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 Mar 2023.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,146 people were surveyed from 14 to 16 Mar 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 Mar 2023, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.3 points higher and FDP 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.3average 16.7
- FDP -1.7average 6.7
- AfD -0.8average 14.8
- SPD +0.6average 20.4
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 29.2
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- SPD142
- Grüne129
- AfD95
- FDP34
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.