Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Feb 2023 to 2 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,165
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Feb 2023.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,165 people were surveyed from 28 Feb 2023 to 2 Mar 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Feb 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 16.4
- FDP -1.4average 6.4
- SPD +0.6average 20.4
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 29.4
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- AfD +0.2average 14.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- SPD142
- Grüne122
- AfD102
- FDP34
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.