Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 16 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,361
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+3.0
- SPD20.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Jan 2023.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,361 people were surveyed from 14 to 16 Feb 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Jan 2023, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 2.7 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.7average 27.3
- Grüne +1.9average 17.1
- FDP -1.8average 6.8
- AfD -0.9average 14.9
- SPD -0.6average 20.6
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD135
- Grüne129
- AfD95
- FDP34
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.