Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 26 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,345
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%-2.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Jan 2023.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,345 people were surveyed from 24 to 26 Jan 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Jan 2023, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.2average 4.8
- SPD +1.1average 19.9
- Grüne +0.9average 18.1
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 27.8
- FDP -0.8average 6.8
- AfD +0.7average 14.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- SPD141
- Grüne127
- AfD101
- FDP40
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD409 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.