Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 12 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,259
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 Dec 2022.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,259 people were surveyed from 10 to 12 Jan 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 Dec 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.8average 18.2
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 28.3
- Linke +1.1average 4.9
- FDP -1.0average 7.0
- SPD +0.4average 19.6
- AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne141
- SPD134
- AfD94
- FDP40
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD409 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.