Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 December 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,365
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%-2.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 Nov 2022.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,365 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Dec 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 Nov 2022, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- Grüne +0.8average 19.2
- SPD +0.7average 19.3
- FDP -0.6average 6.6
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
- CDU/CSU ±0average 28.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- SPD134
- Grüne134
- AfD100
- FDP40
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.