Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 24 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,273
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Nov 2022.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,273 people were surveyed from 22 to 24 Nov 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Nov 2022, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 3.0 points higher and FDP 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.0average 19.0
- FDP -1.8average 6.8
- Linke +1.2average 4.8
- SPD -0.6average 19.6
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 27.8
- AfD -0.1average 14.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne147
- SPD127
- AfD94
- Linke40
- FDP34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD409 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.