Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 10 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,310
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Oct 2022.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,310 people were surveyed from 8 to 10 Nov 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Oct 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 3.3 points higher and FDP 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.3average 18.7
- FDP -2.1average 7.1
- AfD +0.8average 14.2
- SPD -0.5average 19.5
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 27.7
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne147
- SPD127
- AfD100
- FDP34
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD415 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.