Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 20 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,389
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 Sep 2022.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,389 people were surveyed from 18 to 20 Oct 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 Sep 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.3average 19.7
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 27.2
- FDP -0.7average 6.7
- AfD +0.5average 14.5
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- SPD -0.1average 19.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne141
- SPD127
- AfD100
- FDP40
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD415 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.