Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 29 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,355
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne22.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Sep 2022.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,355 people were surveyed from 27 to 29 Sep 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Sep 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.9average 20.1
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.7
- AfD +0.7average 13.3
- SPD -0.6average 18.6
- FDP -0.2average 7.2
- Linke -0.2average 5.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne149
- SPD122
- AfD95
- FDP47
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD400 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.