Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 September 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
6 to 8 Sep 2022
Respondents
1,299
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+2.0
  • Grüne23.0%-3.0
  • SPD19.0%±0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Aug 2022.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,299 people were surveyed from 6 to 8 Sep 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Aug 2022, Grüne loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.5average 7.5
  • CDU/CSU +1.4average 26.6
  • Grüne +0.7average 22.3
  • AfD +0.7average 12.3
  • SPD +0.3average 18.7
  • Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 188 seatsGrüne: 154 seatsSPD: 127 seatsAfD: 87 seatsFDP: 40 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU188
  • Grüne154
  • SPD127
  • AfD87
  • FDP40
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD402 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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