Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 August 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 11 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 1,389
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne26.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%-2.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 Jul 2022.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 26.0%. 1,389 people were surveyed from 9 to 11 Aug 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 Jul 2022, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 3.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.5average 22.5
- Linke -0.9average 4.9
- AfD +0.8average 11.2
- SPD -0.7average 19.7
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 26.5
- FDP -0.5average 7.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- Grüne182
- SPD133
- AfD84
- FDP49
- CDU/CSU + Grüne364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD399 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD399 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP364 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP364 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.