Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 14 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,167
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne25.0%±0
- SPD21.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 1 Jul 2022.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 1,167 people were surveyed from 12 to 14 Jul 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 1 Jul 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 3.1 points higher and FDP 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.1average 21.9
- FDP -1.9average 7.9
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 26.7
- Linke +0.6average 4.4
- SPD +0.3average 20.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne168
- SPD141
- AfD74
- FDP40
- Linke33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD389 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP355 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.