Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 1 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 30 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 1,186
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne25.0%±0
- SPD21.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Jun 2022.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 1,186 people were surveyed from 28 to 30 Jun 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Jun 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 3.3 points higher and FDP 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.3average 21.7
- FDP -2.0average 8.0
- Linke +0.6average 4.4
- AfD -0.5average 10.5
- SPD +0.1average 20.9
- CDU/CSU ±0average 27.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne168
- SPD141
- AfD67
- FDP40
- Linke33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD376 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.