Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
13 to 15 Jun 2022
Respondents
1,133
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • Grüne25.0%+1.0
  • SPD22.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 20 May 2022.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 1,133 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 Jun 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 20 May 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 4.1 points higher and FDP 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +4.1average 20.9
  • FDP -2.2average 8.2
  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 27.5
  • SPD +0.7average 21.3
  • Linke +0.5average 4.5
  • AfD -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 174 seatsGrüne: 168 seatsSPD: 147 seatsAfD: 67 seatsFDP: 40 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU174
  • Grüne168
  • SPD147
  • AfD67
  • FDP40
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD321 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD382 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP355 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke349 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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