Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 20 May 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 19 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,162
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%+3.0
- Grüne24.0%+3.0
- SPD22.0%-3.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%-2.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Apr 2022.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,162 people were surveyed from 17 to 19 May 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Apr 2022, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 4.4 points higher and FDP 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.4average 19.6
- FDP -1.6average 8.6
- SPD -1.3average 23.3
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.4
- Linke -0.3average 4.3
- AfD +0.2average 9.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- Grüne170
- SPD156
- AfD71
- FDP49
- CDU/CSU + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
- Grüne + SPD326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.