Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
26 to 28 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,170
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD25.0%-2.0
  • CDU/CSU23.0%-1.0
  • Grüne21.0%+2.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Apr 2022.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,170 people were surveyed from 26 to 28 Apr 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Apr 2022, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.5 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.5average 18.5
  • CDU/CSU -1.9average 24.9
  • AfD +0.8average 10.2
  • Linke -0.5average 4.5
  • SPD +0.4average 24.6
  • FDP -0.4average 9.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 177 seatsCDU/CSU: 163 seatsGrüne: 148 seatsAfD: 78 seatsFDP: 64 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD177
  • CDU/CSU163
  • Grüne148
  • AfD78
  • FDP64
  • SPD + CDU/CSU340 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD389 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP375 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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