Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
5 to 7 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,230
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD27.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Mar 2022.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,230 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Apr 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Mar 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.0 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.0average 25.0
  • Grüne +1.7average 17.3
  • FDP -1.6average 9.6
  • CDU/CSU -1.3average 25.3
  • AfD +0.9average 10.1
  • Linke -0.8average 4.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 191 seatsCDU/CSU: 170 seatsGrüne: 134 seatsAfD: 78 seatsFDP: 57 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD191
  • CDU/CSU170
  • Grüne134
  • AfD78
  • FDP57
  • SPD + CDU/CSU361 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD382 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP361 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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