Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 March 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 10 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 1,345
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD27.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 Feb 2022.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,345 people were surveyed from 8 to 10 Mar 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 Feb 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.2 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.2average 24.8
- Grüne +2.0average 16.0
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 25.5
- Linke -0.9average 5.9
- FDP -0.8average 9.8
- AfD -0.3average 10.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD183
- CDU/CSU162
- Grüne122
- AfD68
- FDP61
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU345 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD373 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.