Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
21 to 23 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,103
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD26.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
  • Grüne17.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Feb 2022.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,103 people were surveyed from 21 to 23 Feb 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Feb 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.2 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.2average 23.8
  • CDU/CSU -1.9average 25.9
  • Grüne +1.2average 15.8
  • FDP -0.7average 9.7
  • Linke -0.4average 6.4
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 176 seatsCDU/CSU: 163 seatsGrüne: 115 seatsAfD: 74 seatsFDP: 61 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD176
  • CDU/CSU163
  • Grüne115
  • AfD74
  • FDP61
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU339 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD365 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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