Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
8 to 10 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,224
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU25.0%+2.0
  • SPD25.0%+1.0
  • Grüne16.0%-2.0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 Jan 2022.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,224 people were surveyed from 8 to 10 Feb 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 Jan 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.1average 23.9
  • FDP -0.9average 9.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 25.4
  • Linke -0.1average 6.1
  • Grüne ±0average 16.0
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 171 seatsSPD: 171 seatsGrüne: 110 seatsAfD: 75 seatsFDP: 62 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU171
  • SPD171
  • Grüne110
  • AfD75
  • FDP62
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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