Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 January 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
25 to 27 Jan 2022
Respondents
1,249
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD24.0%-3.0
  • CDU/CSU23.0%+1.0
  • Grüne18.0%+2.0
  • FDP10.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%+1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 Jan 2022.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,249 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Jan 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 Jan 2022, SPD loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.3 points higher and SPD 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.3average 15.7
  • SPD -1.7average 25.7
  • Linke +1.3average 5.7
  • AfD -1.1average 11.1
  • FDP -0.5average 10.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 23.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 164 seatsCDU/CSU: 158 seatsGrüne: 123 seatsFDP: 69 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 48 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD164
  • CDU/CSU158
  • Grüne123
  • FDP69
  • AfD68
  • Linke48
  • SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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