Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 13 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 1,128
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD27.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Dec 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,128 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Jan 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Dec 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 23.0
- Linke +1.0average 5.0
- AfD -0.9average 10.9
- SPD +0.4average 26.6
- Grüne +0.4average 15.6
- FDP -0.3average 11.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD185
- CDU/CSU151
- Grüne110
- FDP75
- AfD68
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU336 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD329 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.