Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 9 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,303
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD28.0%±0
- CDU/CSU21.0%+2.0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- FDP12.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 Nov 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,303 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Dec 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 Nov 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.6average 26.4
- Grüne +1.2average 15.8
- AfD -0.8average 10.8
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 21.7
- FDP -0.6average 12.6
- Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD190
- CDU/CSU142
- Grüne115
- FDP81
- AfD68
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP386 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD373 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.