Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 25 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,257
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%+2.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 May 2023.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,257 people were surveyed from 23 to 25 May 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 May 2023, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.9average 7.9
- SPD +1.4average 18.6
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 29.1
- AfD +1.0average 16.0
- Grüne +0.9average 15.1
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD137
- AfD116
- Grüne110
- FDP41
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne418 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.