Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 15 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,224
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD19.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 May 2023.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,224 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 Jun 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 May 2023, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.7average 14.3
- FDP -1.2average 7.2
- AfD -0.7average 18.7
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 28.1
- SPD -0.1average 19.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD130
- AfD123
- Grüne110
- FDP41
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne425 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.