Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 29 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,268
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others4.0%-4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 Jul 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,268 people were surveyed from 27 to 29 Jul 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 2.1 points lower and Grüne 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -2.1average 12.1
- Grüne +1.9average 19.1
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- SPD +0.1average 15.9
- CDU/CSU ±0average 28.0
- Linke ±0average 7.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne142
- SPD108
- AfD75
- FDP68
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP333 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.