Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 12 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 1,252
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
- SPD19.0%+3.0
- Grüne19.0%-2.0
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 Jul 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,252 people were surveyed from 10 to 12 Aug 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 Jul 2021, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.8average 17.2
- FDP -0.9average 11.9
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 26.6
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
- Linke +0.3average 6.7
- Grüne -0.2average 19.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- SPD129
- Grüne129
- FDP75
- AfD74
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne434 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP333 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.