Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 26 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 1,300
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU22.0%-4.0
- SPD22.0%+3.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Aug 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 22.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,300 people were surveyed from 24 to 26 Aug 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Aug 2021, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.4 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.4average 17.6
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 24.0
- FDP -2.0average 12.0
- SPD +1.0average 21.0
- Linke -1.0average 7.0
- Freie Wähler -0.5average 3.5
- AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU152
- SPD152
- Grüne139
- AfD76
- FDP69
- Linke42
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne443 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.