Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Aug 2021 to 2 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,301
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD25.0%+3.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%-3.0
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Aug 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,301 people were surveyed from 31 Aug 2021 to 2 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Aug 2021, SPD gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.4average 23.6
- FDP -1.1average 12.1
- Linke +0.3average 6.7
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 22.2
- Grüne -0.2average 17.2
- AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD169
- CDU/CSU149
- Grüne115
- FDP75
- AfD75
- Linke47
- SPD + CDU/CSU318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke331 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.