Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 9 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,281
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 Sep 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,281 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 Sep 2021, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 21.1
- Grüne +0.8average 16.2
- SPD -0.7average 25.7
- FDP -0.7average 11.7
- AfD -0.4average 11.4
- Linke -0.2average 6.2
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD171
- CDU/CSU151
- Grüne117
- FDP75
- AfD75
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD343 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.