Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 1,473
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU33.0%+7.0
- Grüne22.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%-4.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 Mar 2020.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,473 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 7.0 points, AfD loses 4.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 3.0 points higher and AfD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.0average 30.0
- AfD -1.5average 11.5
- Linke -0.7average 8.7
- Grüne +0.6average 21.4
- FDP -0.6average 6.6
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- Grüne147
- SPD101
- AfD67
- Linke54
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.