Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 5 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 1,276
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne23.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%+2.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-2.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 Feb 2020.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,276 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 Feb 2020, SPD gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Linke 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.7average 9.7
- AfD +1.3average 12.7
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 27.0
- Grüne +0.5average 22.5
- SPD +0.3average 15.7
- FDP -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne156
- SPD108
- AfD95
- Linke54
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD379 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.