Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 February 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 6 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 1,067
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 Jan 2020.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,067 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 Jan 2020, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 2.5 points lower and Linke 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -2.5average 8.5
- Linke +1.5average 8.5
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 27.8
- AfD +0.7average 13.3
- SPD +0.5average 13.5
- Grüne -0.1average 22.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- Grüne149
- SPD95
- AfD95
- Linke68
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.