Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 15 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 1,282
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne23.0%±0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Dec 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,282 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Dec 2019, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 1.6 points higher and FDP 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 21.4
- FDP -1.5average 8.5
- SPD +0.8average 13.2
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.5
- Linke +0.4average 8.6
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne154
- SPD94
- AfD94
- Linke60
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.