Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 December 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 12 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 1,366
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne23.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- SPD13.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Nov 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,366 people were surveyed from 10 to 12 Dec 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Nov 2019, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.9average 21.1
- SPD -0.8average 13.8
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.7
- Linke +0.5average 8.5
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
- FDP -0.3average 8.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne154
- AfD94
- SPD87
- Linke60
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.