Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 23 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,273
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU23.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.5%+0.5
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others5.5%-3.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Sep 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,273 people were surveyed from 22 to 23 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Sep 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.1average 11.1
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 22.0
- SPD -0.7average 25.7
- Grüne +0.6average 15.9
- Linke -0.4average 6.4
- FDP -0.3average 11.3
- Freie Wähler +0.2average 2.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD172
- CDU/CSU158
- Grüne114
- FDP76
- AfD69
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU330 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD341 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke327 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.